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Indonesian
Volcano Alert Levels
There is no
single, internationally accepted volcano warning system.
However, most nations have adopted multi-stage systems
employing numerical and/or color-coded levels of alert.
Alert stages typically range from the lowest level,
characterized by normal background levels of activity (e.g., small and
occasional earthquakes, fumerolic activity, low levels of ground
deformation) to a highest level, typically indicating that a hazardous
eruption is imminent or in progress.
The
CVGHM utilizes a system with four levels of alert:
Ø
Alert
1 (Code Green – Active Normal) - No activity based on monitoring
visual seismicity and other events.
No eruptions in the foreseeable future.
Ø
Alert
2 (Code Yellow – Danger - “Waspada”) - Increased seismicity and
other volcanic events such as gases. Visual changes around the crater
and magmatic, tectonic or hydrothermal disturbances.
Eruption is not imminent, however due to the increased danger,
local officials should prepare for a disaster.
Ø
Alert
3 (Code Orange – Ready to Erupt - “Siaga”) – Rapid rise in
seismicity accompanied by obvious visual changes in the crater.
Large eruption possible within one-to-two weeks, depending on
data analysis.
Ø
Alert
4 (Code Red – Active Danger - “Awas”) – Begin evacuation due
to small eruptions and/or potential for a large eruption spewing ash,
lava and gases. A major
eruption is imminent, possibly within 24 hours.
It is important to
note that alert levels do not specify the size and explosiveness of
anticipated eruptions. These
factors vary widely from volcano to volcano and even at the same
volcano. Volcanologists
typically use the history of eruptions at a volcano, or at similar
volcanoes worldwide, to forecast the likely size of anticipated
eruptions.
Although the
public and the media tend to focus on large eruptions, most volcanic
activity leads to no eruption at all or to small or middle-sized
eruptions. However, even
small eruptions can disrupt the lives of people living near volcanoes,
and cause problems for aircraft and sensitive facilities downwind.
Clouds of volcanic ash can damage aircraft, and even light
ashfall can close airports and adversely affect people with
respiratory problems.
Mt.
Merapi
As of April 12, the CVGMH and Merapi Volcano Observatory (MVO) raised the
danger warning for Mt. Merapi to Alert Level 3 – Code Orange, Ready
to Erupt (“Siaga”). The
2,968-meter (9,737 feet) Mt. Merapi is about 400 kilometers (250
miles) east of Jakarta or 27 km (17 miles) from Yogyakarta.
Volcanologists classify Mt Merapi as a “high-risk” volcano
due to its history of eruptions.
Visual observations on April 11 showed the top of the volcano
cracked and 18 lava avalanches, with sulfurous gases rising about 100
meters above the crater.
BPPTK
and MVO have urged tourists and others not to climb Mt. Merapi and
advised people to suspend activities in rivers on the upper part of
the mountain. They
also advised sand miners to stop their activities and called on local
governments to be ready for a volcanic eruption.
Mt.
Semeru
Effective
March 29, the East Java Office of Energy and Mineral Resources and
Semeru Volcanic Observatory increased the danger level of Mt. Semeru
to Alert Level 2 (Code Yellow – Danger).
The East Java Office of Energy and Mineral Resources urged
tourists and others not to climb Mt. Semeru higher than 1 kilometer
from the top.
Visual
observations showed increased sulferous gases 50-75 meters from the
crater and numerous gas explosions rising 300-600 meters up from the
crater. In March 2006, ashfall from Mt. Semeru was reported in Malang
Raya (90 km/56 miles from Surabaya) and Blitar (120 km/ 75 miles South
West of Surabaya).
Monitoring
Indonesia’s Volcanoes on the Internet
Information
on the status of Indonesia’s volcanoes can be accessed at the CVGHM
website under the following links:
http://www.vsi.esdm.go.id/portal/html/index.php
http://www.vsi.esdm.go.id/general_info/index.htm
The following CVGHM web page gives the most up-to-date information available on Indonesian volcanic activity and current alert levels:
http://www.vsi.esdm.go.id/portal/html/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=index&catid=&topic=3
Additional
information on worldwide volcanic activity, including in Indonesia, is
available at the U.S. Geological Survey Volcano Hazards program
website at the following address:
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